Will there be at least 100 people on mars by 2050?
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27
Ṁ25352051
30%
chance
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If any companies or countries gets 100 people or more to be on mars and alive by the end of 2050 this will resolve as a YES. If there is less than 100, it will resolve as NO. Any crashes or corpses will not be inuded in the final head count.
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The USA has spent 3% of its national budget on the Apollo program to put 12 people on the moon. A Mars colony would be massively more expensive - the most expensive project in human history. Why put 100 people on Mars in the next 25 years when 10 people only cost 10% of that?
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