Open weight AI system below 100B parameters gets 5/6 on IMO 2026?
6
Ṁ1442026
44%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if there is evidence that a system with fewer than 100B parameters gets 5/6 questions correct, without having seen the 2026 problem set.
https://x.com/DimitrisPapail/status/1947181274734440792?t=Z8gga8qntap7ZZr_tUEDJw&s=19
This should look something like being released no fewer than 2 weeks ahead of the 2026 IMO.
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