๐Ÿ“ˆ The US Election and Bitcoin prices ๐Ÿ“‰Which of the following event pairs will co-incide?
โž•
Plus
8
แน€1151
in a day
69%
Trump declared US Presidential Election winner and Bitcoin rises 8% or more during the following week
3%
Trump declared US Predisential winner and Bitcoin falls 8% or more during the following week
15%
Trump declared US Presidential Election winner and Bitcoin remains within +8% to -8% (both exclusive) during the following week
3%
Harris declared US Presidential Election winner and Bitcoin rises 8% or more during the following week.
3%
Harris declared US Predisential winner and Bitcoin falls 8% or more during the following week
4%
Harris declared US Presidential Election winner and Bitcoin remains within +8% to -8% (both exclusive) during the following week
3%
Other

Correlation isn't causation, of course. But the US Election might precede a relative change in Bicoin prices.

Which events will occur together?

Bitcoin Price measured on coinmarketcap

Election winner as declared by any two major news networks from e.g. Fox, Newsmax, MSNBC, CNN, ABC, AP

Relative price taken by dividing the daily average price of bitcoin in USD on November 12th by the daily average price on November 5th.

If no winner is declared by November 12th midnight EST, then resolves Other as neither candidate is declared winner by close date.

Reach out with any clarifications/comments.

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