Will Nuclear Fusion supply power to an electric grid before 2050?
5
Ṁ622049
71%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria
“Yes” Resolution:
The market resolves to Yes if before January 1st 2050, at least one nuclear fusion facility meets these requirements:The facility must demonstrate a net energy gain, producing more electrical energy than the total energy required to sustain and operate the reactor
Is connected to a power grid (so that homes, businesses, or other customers use this electricity).
Maintains a net electrical output of at least 1 megawatt to the grid.
Operates under the above conditions for a sustained period of at least 30 consecutive days.
“No” Resolution:
If no such fusion power plant has met the above conditions by January 1st 2050, the market resolves to No.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will a pure nuclear fusion bomb be developed before 2100?
13% chance
Will Nuclear Fusion supply power to an electric grid before 2045?
55% chance
Will Nuclear Fusion supply power to an electric grid before 2040?
68% chance
Will Nuclear Fusion supply power to an electric grid before 2035?
39% chance
In what year will Nuclear Fusion supply power to an electric grid?
-
Will nuclear fusion become a viable energy source before 2050?
72% chance
Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power before 2050?
33% chance
Which country will be the first to add commercially viable nuclear fusion energy to their power grid?
Will fusion provide >30% of US electrical power by 2100?
55% chance
Will fusion provide >10% of US electrical power by 2100?
50% chance