When will Sam Altman cease to be the CEO of OpenAI?
6
Ṁ1633
2026
2%
2025
7%
2026
10%
2027
10%
2028
10%
2029
10%
2030
10%
2031
40%
Other

Simple renaming: A straightforward renaming of the organization will count as OpenAI.

Mild restructure with renaming: If the rebranding is accompanied by only a mild restructuring, it almost certainly counts as OpenAI.

Large restructure: If the organization undergoes a significant restructure that leads to substantial or widespread disagreement about what constitutes "OpenAI," this could cause the market to resolve as NO even if Sam Altman remains CEO.

Temporary Leave doesn't count. Only permanent exit from the CEO position counts.

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