When will Sam Altman cease to be the CEO of OpenAI?
6
Ṁ16332026
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2%
2025
7%
2026
10%
2027
10%
2028
10%
2029
10%
2030
10%
2031
40%
Simple renaming: A straightforward renaming of the organization will count as OpenAI.
Mild restructure with renaming: If the rebranding is accompanied by only a mild restructuring, it almost certainly counts as OpenAI.
Large restructure: If the organization undergoes a significant restructure that leads to substantial or widespread disagreement about what constitutes "OpenAI," this could cause the market to resolve as NO even if Sam Altman remains CEO.
Temporary Leave doesn't count. Only permanent exit from the CEO position counts.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will Sam Altman cease to be CEO of OpenAI before the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2025?
97% chance
Will Sam Altman cease to be CEO of OpenAI again before 2030?
62% chance
Will Sam Altman stop being the CEO of OpenAI again at any point before 2028?
30% chance
Will Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2026?
87% chance
Will Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2027?
76% chance
Will Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at mid 2028
60% chance
Who will be the next CEO of OpenAI, after Sam Altman?
Will Sam Altman leave open AI before 2026?
4% chance