
Will Belarus be at least partly free by end of 2025?
Mini
5
Ṁ2152026
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to Freedom House's Freedom in the World survey. If the report stops being published, I reserve the right to use an alternative freedom index. Since the report covering 2022 was published on March 9, 2023, I will consider reports published up to 3 months into 2026.
See also:
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will Russia be at least partly free by end of 2025?
11% chance
Will Kazakhstan be at least partly free by end of 2025?
16% chance
Will Turkey be at least partly free by end of 2025?
19% chance
Will Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2025?
86% chance
Will Belarus invade Ukraine by the end of 2025?
11% chance
Will Belarus join Russia willingly before the end of 2027?
12% chance
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus by the end of 2030?
20% chance
Will Russia annex Belarus until 2025?
5% chance
Will Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2026?
79% chance
Will Lukashenko be president of Belarus by the end of 2027?
91% chance