Will California independence be voted on in 2026?
Plus
22
แน23672026
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the California Independence Plebiscite Initiative (or any other initiative with the goal of advancing California independence) is voted on in the 2026 election in California.
Practically, this means:
It must get enough signatures to be placed on the ballot
It must survive all legal challenges stopping it from being placed on the ballot or having votes on it being counted
Get แน1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will California pass a mid-cycle redistricting referendum in 2025?
43% chance
Will there be an AI ballot measure in California in 2026?
44% chance
California voters approve redistricting ballot measure in 2025?
45% chance
Will California, or any part of California, become an independent country before 2030?
10% chance
Will California hold a vote to secede from the U.S.?
6% chance
Will there be another Scottish Independence referendum by 2026?
1% chance
Will the democratic party win the 2026 california gubernatorial election?
96% chance
California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
If SB-1047 (or reasonably similar legislation) is run as a ballot initiative in California in 2026, will it pass?
72% chance
Will Catalonia hold another independence vote by 2030?
33% chance