When will a new Catholic pope be elected after Francis?
Mini
17
Ṁ7422030
1D
1W
1M
ALL
85%
2025 or earlier
7%
2026 or 2027
6%
2028 or 2029
2%
2030 or later
Resolves according to the time of the "habemus papam" announcement in the Vatican time zone (if the announcement straddles the midnight of 1 January, I will flip a coin).
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Who will be the next pope?
Will Pope Francis cease to be pope before the end of 2025?
88% chance
Will Pope Francis die in office?
88% chance
Which country will the next Pope following Pope Francis be from?
Will Pope Francis be alive through the end of 2025?
15% chance
In which year will Pope Francis cease to be Pope?
Will Pope Francis cease to be pope before 2030?
99% chance
Will the next pope be based?
31% chance
Will Pope Francis abdicate?
18% chance
Who will be elected the next Pope after Francis (Jorge Bergoglio)?