MANIFOLD
Browse
US Election
News
About
App
Sign in
Dark
Light
(auto)
Open options
Will OpenAI announce a new model that EpochAI estimates is at least as large as GPT-4.5, before August 2026?
Bayesian
15
Ṁ1515
2026
67%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Trade YES
Trade NO
See also:
/Bayesian/will-openai-announce-a-new-model-th
#
AI
#
Technical AI Timelines
#
OpenAI
#
GPT-5 Speculation
#
Epoch AI
Sign up
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Comments
Open options
Related questions
Will OpenAI announce a new model that EpochAI estimates is at least as large as GPT-4.5, in 2025?
Bayesian
7%
chance
Will OpenAI release a model referred to as "GPT-6" before June 1st, 2026?
Matthew Barnett
16%
chance
Will OpenAI announce a model with a name containing the string "GPT-4b" in 2025
Guuber
3%
chance
Related questions
Will OpenAI announce a new model that EpochAI estimates is at least as large as GPT-4.5, in 2025?
Bayesian
7%
chance
Will OpenAI announce a model with a name containing the string "GPT-4b" in 2025
Guuber
3%
chance
Will OpenAI release a model referred to as "GPT-6" before June 1st, 2026?
Matthew Barnett
16%
chance
Scroll to top
Browse
Election
News
About
Sign in