By the end of 2025, the CDF experiment's 2022 measurement of the W boson mass will be supported by another experiment.
Mini
3
Ṁ1052025
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
In 2022, analysis of the old CDF experiment at Fermilab measured the mass of the W boson to be in 7-sigma tension with the Standard Model prediction, also disagreeing with CMS's measurement. https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abk1781 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/W_and_Z_bosons#2022_unexpected_measurement_of_W_boson_mass
Other experiments (almost certainly ATLAS at the LHC) will need to confirm this before the physics community is sure of this.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
By 2030, will the Mu2e experiment at Fermilab find signals of physics beyond the Standard Model?
27% chance
Will a new subatomic particle be experimentally confirmed to exist before 2040?
30% chance
What will be the next particle discovered outside the Standard Model (2022)?
Will the matter-antimatter asymmetry problem be considered solved by the end of 2040?
26% chance
Will the final result of the Muon g-2 experiment at Fermilab and Brookhaven be at least 5 sigma?
27% chance
Will the CMS measurement of the W-boson mass be consistent with the Standard Model?
90% chance
Will a Beyond the Standard Model Particle be discovered by 2025?
8% chance
Will String Theory have experimental validation by 2050?
6% chance
Will a new fundamental particle be discovered in 2024?
2% chance