Will an orexin antagonist be the best long term sleeping drug in 2030
Mini
3
Ṁ302030
63%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Unlikely to be best selling due to pricing and generic alternatives. Would resolve yes if there is a relatively recent meta analysis showing one of the orexin targeting drugs being the best overall vs competition (not just placebo). Should be graded on a multitude of factors for long term use including tolerance, effectiveness and side effects.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will a technology exist by 2030 that will cure insomnia?
33% chance
Will the FDA approved a drug that claims to reduce the number of hours of sleep you need by 2040?
45% chance
Will there be a safe and sustainable way of avoiding the need for sleep by 2030?
5% chance
Will an intervention be found by 2045 that reduces the amount of sleep needed in order to function by at least 25%?
35% chance
EOY 2030, what % of MIT undergrads self-modified to reduce their sleep needs using medical tools unavailable in 2023?
24
Will a drug that didn't go through human clinical trials be approved by 2034?
29% chance
Will a drug to be used by most healthy adults be approved by 2043 year end?
70% chance
Affordable weight loss drugs before 2030?
76% chance
Will any country legalize recreational use of benzodiazepines before 2030?
25% chance
In 2040, will any state of the art AIs do something analogous to sleeping?
51% chance