MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
By when will SAT solvers be 10x faster (than 2023 on same hardware)?
Mini
1
Ṁ20
2100
1D
1W
1M
ALL
40%
2030
40%
2040
21%
2100

When will a SAT solver run on 2023 hardware be 10x faster than the winner of the 2023 SAT competition on the completion benchmark.

#Algorithms
#Computer Science
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Comments

Related questions

Will neural networks be necessary to winning a SAT competition by 2030?
23% chance
Will an AI achieve >80% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?
60% chance
AI: 1580 SAT by 2028 (gpu)
66% chance
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?
45% chance
AI resolves at least X% on SWE-bench without any assistance, by 2028?
When will a single model first achieve 10@k solve rate >= 90% on the CodeContests dataset?
AI: 1500 SAT by 2028 (gpu)
86% chance
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?
60% chance
In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the SWE-bench Verified benchmark?
-
What will be the best AI performance on Humanity's Last Exam by December 31st 2025?

Related questions

Will neural networks be necessary to winning a SAT competition by 2030?
23% chance
When will a single model first achieve 10@k solve rate >= 90% on the CodeContests dataset?
Will an AI achieve >80% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?
60% chance
AI: 1500 SAT by 2028 (gpu)
86% chance
AI: 1580 SAT by 2028 (gpu)
66% chance
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?
60% chance
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?
45% chance
In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the SWE-bench Verified benchmark?
-
AI resolves at least X% on SWE-bench without any assistance, by 2028?
What will be the best AI performance on Humanity's Last Exam by December 31st 2025?
BrowseElectionNewsAbout