When will the next space station have a human in it?
Plus
13
Ṁ3522070
2,029
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves when:
A space station that does not exist in 2024 April is operational
This station has a living human on board
For example, this station might be run by:
NASA (USA)
CNSA (China)
Roscosmos (Russia)
Axiom Space
Vast
Orbital Reef
Edge cases:
The Lunar Gateway would count
A lunar surface station would not count
A plan must exist for this station to still be crew-accessible 6 months later, & to still remain in the same orbit
This plan must be technologically plausible
A station which is basically a renamed ISS does not count. More specifically, any station where the majority of its modules were part of the 2024 April ISS doesn't count.
Exotic future tech like brain emulation doesn't count. This question is about biological humans.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a manned commercial space station in orbit at the end of 2025?
7% chance
When will the next human die in space (above the Karman line)?
Will there be a manned commercial space station in orbit at the end of 2030?
68% chance
Will Starlab Space Station be crewed before the end of 2030?
33% chance
Will Starliner have crew on it next time it's launched to orbit?
31% chance
When will Starship fly in space with a human on board?
Will SpaceX deliver the next set of human astronauts to the lunar surface?
65% chance
Will the International Space Station be functional and crewed in 2025?
94% chance
Will there be a space station with artificial gravity by June 2026?
3% chance
When will be the first day that 100 or more humans are in space?
2036