Will Violent Insurgencies Emerge in the United States before 2032?
Mini
10
แน1962032
52%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution will be based on whether there is media consensus that any actions undertaken by politically motivated guerrilla groups represent an insurgency. I will not bet on this market. I'm open to suggestions that refine the resolution criteria before 2026.
Get แน1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?
16% chance
Will the US see a violent insurgency before 2030?
Will There be a Civil War or Violent Revolution in USA by 2030?
21% chance
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2026?
15% chance
Will the US will have a Civil War by the end of 2028?
11% chance
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2036?
96% chance
Will there be a violent revolution or Civil war in America by 2100?
57% chance
[Metaculus] Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031?
70% chance
Will the US Government lose its monopoly on violence within its borders before 2035?
10% chance
Will political violence in the US increase in 2025?