MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
If the Musk/Maduro fight happens and Maduro loses, will Maduro cede power?
➕
Plus
10
Ṁ1920
2030
27%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

If the fight does not happen by the next election, this market will close N/A.

If the fight happens but Maduro wins, this market will close N/A.

Assuming the fight happens, I will choose the "winner" based on my evaluation of American or international news sources.

#Elon musk
#Venezuela
#Nicolas Maduro
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Comments

Related questions

Will Maduro be in office on January 1, 2026?
+6% 1d87% chance
Nicolás Maduro out this year?
-5% 1d14% chance
Will Nicolas Maduro lose his mustache before he dies?
22% chance
Nicolas Maduro Moros arrested or convicted by end of 2026?
30% chance
Will Nicolas Maduro continue to accept migrant deportations of Venezuelans illegally residing in the US before 2028?
45% chance
Will the US military invade Venezuela and remove president Maduro from office before May, 2026?
16% chance
Nicolas Maduro finishes 2025 as Venezuela's president?
87% chance
Will Nicolás Maduro still be president on the March equinox in 2026?
59% chance
Nicolás Maduro arrested by end of 2028?
31% chance
Will there be a civil war in Venezuela before 2050?
54% chance

Related questions

Will Maduro be in office on January 1, 2026?
87% chance
Will the US military invade Venezuela and remove president Maduro from office before May, 2026?
16% chance
Nicolás Maduro out this year?
14% chance
Nicolas Maduro finishes 2025 as Venezuela's president?
87% chance
Will Nicolas Maduro lose his mustache before he dies?
22% chance
Will Nicolás Maduro still be president on the March equinox in 2026?
59% chance
Nicolas Maduro Moros arrested or convicted by end of 2026?
30% chance
Nicolás Maduro arrested by end of 2028?
31% chance
Will Nicolas Maduro continue to accept migrant deportations of Venezuelans illegally residing in the US before 2028?
45% chance
Will there be a civil war in Venezuela before 2050?
54% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout