At least 50% of US citizens have been evacuated from Taiwan within a six month period before 2037
Plus
20
แน7102037
38%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
During any continuous six month period start to finish. Judged by mainstream US media reports.
Get แน1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
China blockades Taiwan in 2025? (media reports)
11% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
35% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?
7% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?
38% chance
Will the US evacuate its citizens from Taiwan before June 2025?
6% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2025
7% chance
Will the US evacuate its citizens from Taiwan before Dec 2027?
30% chance
USA will advise all American citizens to leave Taiwan anytime through 2032
35% chance
At least 100k recent Taiwanese refugees reach US territory any time through 2031
31% chance
At least 2m Taiwanese citizens are physically relocated to the mainland by the PRC through 2033
14% chance