Will the November 2024 top 500 Supercomputer list put us above 10 Exaflops of total computing power?
Mini
3
Ṁ16Nov 1
44%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Considering we are at 5.2 Exaflops of total compute capability on the top 500 Supercomputer list as of September 24, 2023 (June 2023 list), will we have 10 Exaflops or more of total compute capability on the November 2024 top 500 list?
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will any supercomputer reach 1 zettaFLOP before 2035?
82% chance
Will there be an announcement of a model with a training compute of over 1e30 FLOPs by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will the TOP500 use lower-precision for its primary ranking methodology on 1/1/26?
35% chance
Will any TOP500 computer use CPUs or accelerators built off of the RISC-V ISA in 2028?
72% chance
Will someone from sundai.club get a Nvidia's Project Digits desktop AI supercomputer by EOY2025?
58% chance
Bitcoin at >500 Exahash per second on 2025-11-17?
67% chance
In 2020, Joe Carlsmith estimated that 10^15 FLOPS is "enough" to perform human functionality. The next post estimating this number will believe it is >=10^15
32% chance
From which countries will the 5 most performant quantum computer corporates in 2028 have originated?
Will NVIDIA release the 'DGX Quantum' (hybrid quantum supercomputer) before 2028 ?
27% chance
Will IBM be the first to create a quantum computer with over 10,000 qubits?
50% chance