MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will Chechenya be a sovereign state before 2040?
Mini
7
αΉ€164
2040
28%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

If Chechenya joins the UN as a sovereign state, resolves as YES

If Chechenya is self-declared sovereign and has >90% of international recognition, resolves as YES

If Chechenya is self-declared sovereign and has <90% of international recognition, resolves as the percentage of countries that recognize its independence

#️ Politics
#πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί Ukraine-Russia war
#World
#Geopolitics
#Collective Autonomy
Get αΉ€1,000 play money
Comments

Related questions

Will Russia join NATO BY 2040?
-28% 1d24% chance
At any point before start of 2050, will a country named Chechnya (or similar) be a member of the UN?
40% chance
Will any part of pre-2014 Russia territory become an internationally recognized independent state by the end of 2040?
58% chance
Will Northern Cyprus be a sovereign state before 2040?
23% chance
Will the Russian Federation break up into multiple independent states before 2030
18% chance
Will there be a second Russia-Georgia war by 2030?
23% chance
Will Ramzan Kadyrov remain the head of the Chechen Republic (Chechnya) by the end of 2025?
75% chance
Will Russia enter NATO by 2040
11% chance
Will Russia Exist in 2040?
94% chance
Will Russia control Grozny on Jan 1st 2033?
66% chance

Related questions

Will Russia join NATO BY 2040?
24% chance
Will there be a second Russia-Georgia war by 2030?
23% chance
At any point before start of 2050, will a country named Chechnya (or similar) be a member of the UN?
40% chance
Will Ramzan Kadyrov remain the head of the Chechen Republic (Chechnya) by the end of 2025?
75% chance
Will any part of pre-2014 Russia territory become an internationally recognized independent state by the end of 2040?
58% chance
Will Russia enter NATO by 2040
11% chance
Will Northern Cyprus be a sovereign state before 2040?
23% chance
Will Russia Exist in 2040?
94% chance
Will the Russian Federation break up into multiple independent states before 2030
18% chance
Will Russia control Grozny on Jan 1st 2033?
66% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout