Will SADR (Western Sahara) be a sovereign state before 2040?
Mini
4
Ṁ582040
37%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If SADR joins the UN as a sovereign state, resolves as YES
If SADR is self-declared sovereign and has >90% of international recognition, resolves as YES
If SADR is self-declared sovereign and has <90% of international recognition, resolves as the percentage of countries that recognize its independence
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will Somaliland be an internationally-recognized sovereign state before 2040?
81% chance
Will at least 40 countries recognize the Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic on Jan 1st 2030?
38% chance
Will Greenland be a sovereign state before 2040?
42% chance
Will any part of French Polynesia be a sovereign state before 2040?
43% chance
Will Northern Cyprus be a sovereign state before 2040?
31% chance
Will there be a new UN-recognized country before 2030?
75% chance
United nations - will it stand by 2040?
Will Catalonia (Catalunya) gain internationally recognized independence before 2030?
15% chance
Will West Papua be independent by 2030?
32% chance
Will the purposely unclaimed Bir Tawil territory between Egypt and Sudan be claimed by at least one country by EOY 2040?
66% chance