MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Betelgeuse supernova detected before January 1, 2026
11
Ṁ8723
Dec 31
1.8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Betelgeuse, a red supergiant star in the constellation Orion, is expected to eventually explode as a supernova. This market resolves to 'Yes' if credible sources confirm that Betelgeuse has gone supernova and the event is visible from Earth before January 1, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to 'No'.

#Astronomy
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Comments

Related questions

Will we discover alien life before 2026?
2% chance
Will Betelgeuse go supernova before 2100?
26% chance
When will Betelgeuse go supernova ?
5822
Will Rigel go supernova before Betelgeuse?
35% chance
Will Deneb go supernova before Betelgeuse?
31% chance
ESA or NASA confirms detection of artificial radio signals from 3I/ATLAS before November 15, 2025
2% chance
When will Betelgeuse go supernova?
Will Eta Carinae go supernova before Betelgeuse?
71% chance
Is the preprint suggesting Betelgeuse supernova within decades correct?
9% chance
Will I live to see Betelgeuse go supernova?
27% chance

Related questions

Will we discover alien life before 2026?
2% chance
ESA or NASA confirms detection of artificial radio signals from 3I/ATLAS before November 15, 2025
2% chance
Will Betelgeuse go supernova before 2100?
26% chance
When will Betelgeuse go supernova?
When will Betelgeuse go supernova ?
5822
Will Eta Carinae go supernova before Betelgeuse?
71% chance
Will Rigel go supernova before Betelgeuse?
35% chance
Is the preprint suggesting Betelgeuse supernova within decades correct?
9% chance
Will Deneb go supernova before Betelgeuse?
31% chance
Will I live to see Betelgeuse go supernova?
27% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout