Before 2026, will Gemini 3.0 exceed GPT-5 in Metr estimated time horizon?
9
Ṁ418Dec 31
57%
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I will base my resolution on the largest version of Gemini 3.0 released, not counting parallel test-time compute scaling (like deep think).
Will resolve if the model comes out before 2026 but Metr doesn’t evaluate it until after.
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