Public LLM exceeds superforecaster on Forecast bench by EOY 2026?

Will there by a major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2027?

Will RL work for LLMs "spill over" to the rest of RL by 2026?

Will an LLM do a task that the user hadn't requested in a notable way before 2026?

🧠 Which LLM will have the most real-world commercial usage by the end of 2025?

Daily LLM assistant personal usage exceeds 2 hours for >10% of users on any platform by end-2026?

Will LLMs be better than typical white-collar workers on all computer tasks before 2026?

Will LLMs become a ubiquitous part of everyday life by June 2026?

Will there be an LLM which scores above what a human can do in 2 hours on METR's eval suite before 2026?

What will Manifolders mostly use LLMs for, by EOY 2025?