Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will any 'Green' party, except the DPP, win seats in the 2028 Legislative Election?
Mini
2
แน152028
55%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Here 'green' means Taiwan nationalist rather than 'environmentally friendly'. (although the Green Party Taiwan is green in both senses)
To qualify for YES resolution, a party must be listed as a member of the Pan-Green Coalition on Wikipedia. Reiteration that the DPP is excluded.
Note that the NPP is not a member even though they are a 'green' party, but this could change.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pan-Green_Coalition
This is part of a series of 'long range' markets for the Taiwan 2028 Presidential Election, hopefully focused on questions that might bubble away over the next four years.
Get แน1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the NPP win any seats in the 2028 Legislative elections?
39% chance
Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Who will be the KMT Presidential Candidate?
Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Who will win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Taiwan Long Range Market: who will be the TPP candidate in the 2028 Presidential Election?
Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the DPP run on a platform to maintain the status quo in Cross-Strait Relations?
75% chance
Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will Lai Ching-te be re-elected?
59% chance
Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the TPP finish within 20% points of the winner of the 2028 Presidential Election?
33% chance
Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the KMT abandon the 1992 Consensus?
42% chance
Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will Ko Wen-je run for president in 2028?
49% chance
DPP wins 2024 Taiwanese election? (No) โ Chinese Annexation of Half of Taiwan by 2050
49% chance