What will be the next fighter jet the Royal Thai Air Force purchases?
What will be the next fighter jet the Royal Thai Air Force purchases?
Mini
1
Ṁ52030
1D
1W
1M
ALL
39%
Lockheed F-16 (US)
31%
Saab Gripen (Sweden)
31%
Resolves on uncontested reporting by multiple outlets (this shouldn't be controversial).
It should be the case that Thailand intends to equip at least one squadron with this plane. If one or two aircraft are acquired for testing purposes this will not resolve.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
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Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.Get started for free! No credit card required.
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Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.
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