Will India bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?
Will India bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?
Mini
3
Ṁ41
2040
73%
chance

The sixth generation of fighter aircraft represents the cutting edge of aerial combat technology, pushing the boundaries of performance, stealth, and connectivity. These advanced fighters are designed to operate in highly contested and dynamic environments, seamlessly integrating with other platforms and networks to form a formidable joint force. Equipped with next-generation sensors, artificial intelligence, and advanced stealth capabilities, sixth-generation fighters possess enhanced situational awareness, allowing pilots to make split-second decisions with precision and accuracy. These aircraft incorporate advanced propulsion systems, such as adaptive cycle engines, to achieve greater speed, range, and maneuverability. Additionally, they leverage advanced materials and design techniques to further reduce radar signature and increase survivability. With their unparalleled capabilities, sixth-generation fighters are poised to dominate the future battlespace, providing air superiority and ensuring the safety and success of military operations.

'Into service' - defined according to the Wikipedia page for the type

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
Trade with S Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.
Get started for free! No credit card required.
What are sweepstakes markets?
There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.
By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.
As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.
Learn more.