When will a nuclear weapon be used for military purposes?
Mini
7
Ṁ4992200
1D
1W
1M
ALL
1%
2023
5%
2024
13%
2025
5%
2026–2027
5%
2028-2030
7%
2031–2035
6%
2036–2040
9%
2041–2050
5%
2051–2060
5%
2061–2070
5%
2071–2080
5%
2081–2090
5%
2091–2100
21%
Not before 2101
The question will be resolved to the first year (after 1945) during which any entity intentionally detonate a nuclear device that causes substantial damage, harm, or casualties as an act of aggression to advance military objectives against an adversary.
The detonation must be a hostile action deployed for a military purpose, not a test or accident.
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