Will a major media outlet publish an exposé on Oprah Winfrey's business practices and public image by December 31, 2025?

Will CEA publicly apologize for their response to the Nick Bostrom scandal by the end of 2025?

Will Science retract the paper on Wuhan wet market COVID origins (Worobey et al. 2022) by the end of 2025?

Will any UK News outlet schedule a background call (on- or off-record) by 31 Jan 2026?

Will a Longtermist act of pre-emptive violence be reported by multiple credible news sources by 1st Jan 2028?

Will an AI-fabricated police brutality video receive major news coverage by end of 2025?

Will New York Magazine walk back the $50k in a shoebox article by the end of 2025?

Will a major financial news outlet write an editorial saying that deglobalization concerns were overblown by 2026?

Will NYT write an article about a scandal at 80,000 Hours, before end of 2026?

Will there be a warning shot before October 20, 2026?