Will John Bolton be indicted by Trump's DOJ for any federal crime by the end of the year?
6
Ṁ530
Dec 31
75%
chance

This market resolves to YES if John Bolton is formally indicted for any federal crime before December 31, 2025.

Context: According to multiple reports, the FBI investigation into Bolton is specifically examining potential violations of the Espionage Act related to his handling of classified information. Court records show the FBI sought evidence of potential violations of Section 793 of Title 18 (the Espionage Act), which criminalizes the unauthorized retention or transmission of national defense information.

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve based on official court documents, Department of Justice announcements, or credible mainstream news reports confirming that Bolton has been formally charged under any provision of the Espionage Act. The indictment must specifically include charges under 18 U.S.C. § 793 and be publicly announced before December 31, 2025, to resolve YES.

Sources for resolution:

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