Will a graviton be directly observed in a peer-reviewed paper before 2100?
Mini
6
Ṁ932100
38%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if:
Graviton is announced to be observed in a peer-reviewed paper before 2100
Resolves NO if:
Graviton is not observed in a peer-reviewed paper before 2100
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
When will (inelastic) graviton-* scattering be observed?
2046
Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?
10% chance
Will a new subatomic particle be experimentally confirmed to exist before 2040?
30% chance
Will a gravitational wave signal be observed from a Thorne-Żytkow object by 2040?
36% chance
Will we know if gravity is fundamentally quantum by the end of 2030?
20% chance
Will neutrinoless double beta decay be observed before 2100?
47% chance
Will a Pulsar Timing Array experiment detect gravitational waves from a resolvable point source before the year 2030?
50% chance
Will a new fundamental physical force be discovered by January 1, 2040?
13% chance
Observation of Hawking radiation by 2040?
26% chance
Will gravitational waves be used as a viable means of communication by 2100?
11% chance