
Will economic inactivity in the UK be substantially worse (>=22.5%) in the 2025 Feb-Apr period?
Mini
5
แน140Jul 31
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The precise question is: Will the 2025 FEB-APR UK working-age economic inactivity rate be 22.5% or above?
It's just a bet on a future datum from this time series:
22.1, 22.3, 22.1, 22.2, 21.9, 21.8 so far this year (2024 JAN-MAR to JUN-AUG rolling averages). So 2024 FEB-APR it was 22.3, and 2023 FEB-APR it was 21.4.
It seems to me like this data will be released around mid-2025, hence the closing date.
(So a Yes ~ economic inactivity will increase, a No ~ economic inactivity will decrease)
(I have initially bet Yes up to 66% new probability)
Get แน1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
What will the UK employment rate be in July 2025?
-
Will Unemployment in the US Reach 5.5% in 2025?
66% chance
Will Unemployment in the US Reach 6.5% in 2025?
38% chance
Will the US Civilian labor force participation rate in January 2026 be above that in January 2022?
24% chance
Will unemployment increase to greater than 25% at any point between now and 2031?
23% chance
If the Unemployment Rate is 5% or less what will it be by EOY 2024?
Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2026?
76% chance
Will total applications for asylum in the UK be higher in 2025 than in 2024?
28% chance
Will US unemployment be 25% or more before 2030?
11% chance
Will Net Migration to the UK be higher in 2024 than in 2023?
19% chance