Will "Daniel Kahneman has died" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Mini
5
Ṁ1152026
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Daniel Kahneman has died is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will "Daniel Dennett has died (1942-2024)" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "OMMC Announces RIP" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
3% chance
Will "Laziness death spirals" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "Things I've Grieved" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
9% chance
Will "What Goes Without Saying" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "The Leopold Model: Analysis and Reactions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "The Pareto Best and the Curse of Doom" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "The Pareto Best and the Curse of Doom" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Failures in Kindness" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
44% chance
Will "The Field of AI Alignment: A Postmortem, and ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
28% chance