Will we discover a new, (believed to be) non-composite particle by 2050? | Manifold

Will we discover a new, (believed to be) non-composite particle by 2050?

Plus

19

Ṁ298

2050

44%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

I will resolve YES if a ≥5 sigma result is found (or composite of multiple results, etc), and otherwise resolve NO at close

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