MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will Shanghai be nuked in 2025?
Mini
13
แน€2055
Jan 1
1.1%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Resolves YES if the city of Shanghai suffers attack by nuclear weaponry in the year 2025, including by a non-national actor.

I'm putting this up as a market because it's something I had a dream about in roughly 2010.

#๏ธ Technology
#World
#๏ธ Wars
#Geopolitics
#๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China
Get แน€1,000 play money
Comments

Related questions

Will the US and China be at war with each other before the end of 2025?
3% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
6% chance
Will there be an offensive nuclear detonation in 2025?
2% chance
Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2025?
12% chance
Will any city get nuked before 2040?
17% chance
Will China test a nuclear weapon before the end of 2025?
9% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
6% chance
Conditional on China invading Taiwan, will any city get nuked before 2040?
21% chance
Will there be a nuclear explosion in USA in 2025?
2% chance
Will North Korea detonate a nuclear weapon in 2025?
6% chance

Related questions

Will the US and China be at war with each other before the end of 2025?
3% chance
Will China test a nuclear weapon before the end of 2025?
9% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
6% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
6% chance
Will there be an offensive nuclear detonation in 2025?
2% chance
Conditional on China invading Taiwan, will any city get nuked before 2040?
21% chance
Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2025?
12% chance
Will there be a nuclear explosion in USA in 2025?
2% chance
Will any city get nuked before 2040?
17% chance
Will North Korea detonate a nuclear weapon in 2025?
6% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout