Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by the end of 2026?
Mini
4
แน1262027
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Get แน1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by the end of 2025?
13% chance
Will Iran blockade the Strait of Hormuz before Israel's invasion of the Gaza Strip ends?
9% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
14% chance
Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2025?
11% chance
Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2026?
12% chance
Will a crossing of the Strait of Hormuz, between Iran and Oman or UAE, have started construction by 2040?
26% chance
Will Iran attack Saudi Arabia before 2026?
15% chance
Will Iran abolish its hijab law by the end of 2025?
11% chance
Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2025?
7% chance
Will the Iran-Saudi deal last until 2026?
60% chance