How many Frontier AI labs will there be on Dec 31, 2025? | Manifold

How many Frontier AI labs will there be on Dec 31, 2025?

Mini

3

Ṁ31

Jan 1

6.5

expected

1D

1W

1M

ALL

From https://www.metaculus.com/questions/17101/number-of-frontier-ai-labs-on-dec-31-2025/

How many Frontier AI labs will there be on Dec 31, 2025?

The aggregate of 9 Metaculus community forecasters was 4.90 on May 22, 2023.

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