MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny all, allow US or int'l licensing)
Mini
7
Ṁ699
Dec 31
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

From https://metaculus.com/questions/17140/deny-all-allow-us-or-intl-licensing/

#AI
#Metaculus
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Comments

Related questions

Will the US Supreme Court reaffirm the ruling that generative AI cannot be awarded copyright by end of 2025?
-9% 1d10% chance
Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny all non-US, allow US or int'l licensing)
4% chance
Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny all, secret or no new licenses)
5% chance
Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny ≤99 countries)
7% chance
Will the US restrict access outside the US to some APIs to generative AI before 2026?
19% chance
Will the US ban AI models produced in China in 2025?
9% chance
Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny all non-US, allow some local licensing)
4% chance
Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny some entities)
10% chance
Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny ≥100 countries)
5% chance
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny all, allow US or int'l licensing)
5% chance

Related questions

Will the US Supreme Court reaffirm the ruling that generative AI cannot be awarded copyright by end of 2025?
10% chance
Will the US ban AI models produced in China in 2025?
9% chance
Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny all non-US, allow US or int'l licensing)
4% chance
Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny all non-US, allow some local licensing)
4% chance
Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny all, secret or no new licenses)
5% chance
Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny some entities)
10% chance
Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny ≤99 countries)
7% chance
Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny ≥100 countries)
5% chance
Will the US restrict access outside the US to some APIs to generative AI before 2026?
19% chance
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny all, allow US or int'l licensing)
5% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout