Will >90% of Elon re/tweets/replies on 19 December 2025 be about AI risk?

What AI safety incidents will occur in 2025?

At the beginning of 2026, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?

The probability of "extremely bad outcomes e.g., human extinction" from AGI will be >5% in next survey of AI experts

Will someone commit terrorism against an AI lab by the end of 2025 for AI-safety related reasons?

In 2025, what % of EA lists "AI risk" as their top cause?

In January 2026, how publicly salient will AI deepfakes/media be, vs AI labor impact, vs AI catastrophic risks?

At end of 2025, one of the top five software engineering AIs will be exclusively used by 100 or fewer tech companies

Will Trump repeatedly raise concerns about existential risk from AI before the end of 2025?

Will humanity wipe out AI x-risk before 2030?