China and Taiwan 2030 [Mega Market]
Plus
8
แน18392030
1D
1W
1M
ALL
72%
Taiwan's ally count falls to 11
67%
China destroys a Taiwanese boat with gunfire or explosives (not a water cannon)
63%
China declares a blockade of boats entering Taiwan (any number)
62%
China controls Wuqiu
62%
China shoots down a Taiwanese plane
59%
Taiwan's ally count falls to 10
58%
China controls Kinmen
58%
China controls Matsu
58%
China controls Penghu
58%
100+ people are killed in the conflict
56%
China launches a missile that hits Taiwan (the island)
50%
Taiwan's ally count falls to 9
50%
Taiwan's ally count falls to 8
40%
China lands troops on Taiwan (the island)
39%
1k+ people are killed in the conflict
39%
10k+ people are killed in the conflict
38%
100k+ people are killed in the conflict
5%
China detonates a nuclear weapon
What will happen by Dec 31, 2030 at 23:59 in Taiwan?
Get แน1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2025
9% chance
China occupying Taiwan - Multiple Choice Markets - By end of 2030
China occupying Taiwan - Multiple Choice Markets - By end of 2035
Chinese invasion of Taiwan mega market (30k subsidy)
China occupying Taiwan - Multiple Choice Markets - By end of 2027
Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?
33% chance
Will China unify with Taiwan by the end of 2030?
17% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
42% chance
Will China control Taiwan in 2040?
50% chance
Will Taiwan be Taiwan in 2025?
88% chance