See https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vc4yL3YTwWk

Market resolves YES if the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) announces a formal investigation into PayPal/Honey's affiliate marketing practices, specifically regarding last-click attribution manipulation, before March 1st, 2025. Resolution source: FTC press releases (ftc.gov/news-events/press-releases) or major financial news outlets reporting on an official FTC investigation announcement.