MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will an engineered virus cause a pandemic before 2035?
Mini
8
Ṁ123
2035
27%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

#️ Technology
#️ Politics
#COVID
#Biology
#COVID origins
#Existential Risk
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Comments

Related questions

Will there be an avian flu pandemic before 2026?
7% chance
Will an engineered pathogen cause a pandemic before 2030?
7% chance
Will there be another global pandemic before 2030?
38% chance
Will an AI system design a pathogen which leads WHO to declare an emergency of some sort by the end of the July, 2030?
21% chance
Will there be a new large-scale virus that infects more than 100,000,000 unique people before 2030?
38% chance
Will there be scientific consensus that viruses are alive by the end of 2030?
-5% 1d7% chance
New pandemic in 2025?
7% chance
Will a pandemic caused by a novel pathogen occur before 2032 and result in the deaths of more than 20 million people?
17% chance
Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?
45% chance
Will another global-scale novel pathogen emerge before the end of 2025?
7% chance

Related questions

Will there be an avian flu pandemic before 2026?
7% chance
Will there be scientific consensus that viruses are alive by the end of 2030?
7% chance
Will an engineered pathogen cause a pandemic before 2030?
7% chance
New pandemic in 2025?
7% chance
Will there be another global pandemic before 2030?
38% chance
Will a pandemic caused by a novel pathogen occur before 2032 and result in the deaths of more than 20 million people?
17% chance
Will an AI system design a pathogen which leads WHO to declare an emergency of some sort by the end of the July, 2030?
21% chance
Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?
45% chance
Will there be a new large-scale virus that infects more than 100,000,000 unique people before 2030?
38% chance
Will another global-scale novel pathogen emerge before the end of 2025?
7% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout