MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will a transformer based model be SOTA for video generation by the end of 2025?
Mini
10
Ṁ310
Jan 1
82%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Resolves to yes or no if there's a widely agreed on benchmark or it's obvious in popularity.

Resolves N/A if there's no clear consensus or benchmark.

#AI
#Technical AI Timelines
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Comments

Related questions

Will a big transformer LM compose these facts without chain of thought by 2026? (harder question version)
43% chance
By 2026, the SOTA in image generation will be using mind reading to control the generation.
15% chance
At the end of 2025 will a DINO-based algorithm still be SOTA for self-supervised learning in vision?
43% chance
Will a SOTA model be trained with Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks by 2029?
8% chance
Will the transformer architecture be replaced in SOTA LLMs by 2028?
61% chance
By 2026, the SOTA in image generation will be using a voice chat to control the generation.
49% chance
Will Transformer based architectures still be SOTA for language modelling by 2026?
81% chance
Will video generation AI make more product revenue than text models in 2025?
20% chance
Will a big transformer LM compose these facts without chain of thought by 2026?
53% chance
Will someone make a video generator < 3B parameters as good as Sora by EOY 2025?
35% chance

Related questions

Will a big transformer LM compose these facts without chain of thought by 2026? (harder question version)
43% chance
By 2026, the SOTA in image generation will be using a voice chat to control the generation.
49% chance
By 2026, the SOTA in image generation will be using mind reading to control the generation.
15% chance
Will Transformer based architectures still be SOTA for language modelling by 2026?
81% chance
At the end of 2025 will a DINO-based algorithm still be SOTA for self-supervised learning in vision?
43% chance
Will video generation AI make more product revenue than text models in 2025?
20% chance
Will a SOTA model be trained with Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks by 2029?
8% chance
Will a big transformer LM compose these facts without chain of thought by 2026?
53% chance
Will the transformer architecture be replaced in SOTA LLMs by 2028?
61% chance
Will someone make a video generator < 3B parameters as good as Sora by EOY 2025?
35% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout