Will enrolment in STEM degrees decrease significantly before 2040?
Will enrolment in STEM degrees decrease significantly before 2040?
Mini
3
Ṁ70
2040
66%
chance

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that student enrolment in higher education STEM degrees has decreased significantly over the period from 2024 to 2040 (similar to how enrolment in humanities has decreased significantly during 2008-2024 in anglo-saxon countries).

This must be true in at least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.

If there is only weak evidence that this has occurred, then this question resolves as N/A. If there is no evidence that this has happened then this question resolves as NO.

This question will be resolved based on data available at the specified end date, and should rely on data that looks at enrolment statistics in degrees relative to the size of the cohort in the age range of 18-27 (or closest proxy data available).

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