Will Russia control Kaliningrad on Jan 1st 2031?
Mini
17
Ṁ12512031
82%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if Russia controls Kaliningrad/Königsberg on January 1st 2031.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before 2030?
9% chance
Will Russia control St Petersburg on Jan 1st 2033?
94% chance
Will Russia control Vladivostok on Jan 1st 2033?
77% chance
Will Russia control Irkutsk on Jan 1st 2032?
82% chance
Will Russia control Sakhalin on Jan 1st 2034?
68% chance
Will Russia lose kaliningrad by 2060
37% chance
Will Russia control Grozny on Jan 1st 2033?
71% chance
[Metaculus] Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?
8% chance
Will Kaliningrad achieve independence from Russia by the end of 2026?
7% chance
Will North Korea control Vladivostok on Jan 1st 2031?
14% chance