Will an unaligned AI or an aligned AI controlled by a malicious actor create a "wake-up call" for humanity on AI safety?
10
Ṁ1302050
68%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
A "wake-up call" is an incident which makes the surviving humans on Earth realise that AI alignment is actually something that humanity should care about.
If no humans survive, it is not a wake-up call, it is the existential AI risk that we have been warning about.
So in other words, will an AI or group of AIs kill some number of people less than the total number of people on earth, or create some other kind of disaster, that makes people say "Holy shit! The AI risk people were right all along!"
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans deliberately cause an AI winter before 2030?
41% chance
Conditional on AI alignment being solved, will governments or other entities be capable of enforcing use of aligned AIs?
37% chance
Will anyone commit violence in order to slow the progression of AI?
74% chance
Will there be at least a "close call" with a powerful misaligned AI before 2100?
83% chance
Before 2050, will an AI system be shut down due to exhibiting power-seeking behavior?
66% chance
IF an existential crisis is caused as a result of AI misalignment, THEN will it be from an AI uprising? (Yes, really)
50% chance
Will anyone commit violence in order to slow the progression of AI?
65% chance
Will misaligned AI kill >50% of humanity before 2040?
14% chance
By 2028, will I believe that contemporary AIs are aligned (posing no existential risk)?
33% chance
Will there be an offensive, ideologically motivated incident against an AI entity in 2024?
31% chance