In 2024, will there be a 10% difference between two-way presidential margin and Senate margin in any swing state?
2
แน500Nov 1
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Swing states for the purposes of this market include: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nevada, and Arizona.
Resolves YES if the difference between the Democratic nominee for president and Republican nominee for president is different by 10% or more from the difference between the Democratic nominee for Senate and the Republican nominee for Senate in any of these states.
Get แน1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
What will be the gap between the popular vote and the tipping point state in 2024?
Will the margin of victory in the 2024 POTUS election in Colorado be greater than in 2020 (13.5%)?
53% chance
In which state will there be the smallest margin of victory in the 2024 US presidential election?
Pairwise state results: which pairs of states / districts will vote the same way in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Which states will be decided by less than 10 points in 2024?
Will any RealClearPolitics "battleground state" final polling average be off by 6 or more points in the 2024 election?
55% chance
Will all of the swing states move similarly in the 2024 election (based on std dev of change in margin from 2020)?
Will a non-swing state flip in the US presidential elections in 2024?
34% chance
Will the 2024 election be closer than 2020?
50% chance
Swing State Power Ranking: Will this swing state vote for the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election?