
Will Elie Hassenfeld (Co-Founder and CEO of GiveWell) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Plus
12
Ṁ11552029
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Elie Hassenfeld (Co-Founder and CEO of GiveWell) has been criminally charged with any felony crime.
Resolves "No" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2030. Part of a large question series.
Question is global -- charges in any country count.
Charges count even if they do not lead to a conviction, were settled before a conviction, or if he was found not guilty.
Minor misdemeanors do not count, only more serious (i.e. "felony") charges.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will Peter thiel be charged with a felony by 2026.
5% chance
Will Holden Karnofsky (Open Philanthropy, GiveWell) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
2% chance
Will Alexander Berger (Open Philanthropy) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
5% chance
Will Howie Lempel (CEO at 80,000 Hours) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
3% chance
Will Dustin Moskovitz (Facebook, Open Philanthropy, Good Ventures) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
5% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
6% chance
Will Peter Thiel be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
6% chance
Will Jeff Bezos be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
4% chance
Will Luke Muehlhauser (Open Philanthropy, AI governance) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
2% chance
Will Robert Wiblin (charity organizer, researcher and podcaster) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
5% chance