MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Ukraine democracy index 2028
Mini
5
Ṁ51
2028
5.1
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Resolves to Ukraine's democracy index be in 2028, as per Wikipedia. The current level is 5.42 (for 2022) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democracy_Index?wprov=sfla1

The intent here is to estimate how democratic a post-war Ukraine will be (on the assumption that the war will either be over or at least settle into a long-term pattern by then)

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Comments

Related questions

Will Ukraine be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?
53% chance
If no ceasefire in 2025, what will the pop-weighted democracy index of pre-war Ukrainian territory be in 2028?
-
Ukraine Presidential election
Will Ukraine hold a presidential election in 2025?
20% chance
Will trust in Zelensky fall below 50% in 2025?
30% chance
Will Ukraine become more authoritarian in 2025?
84% chance
If ceasefire in 2025, what will the pop-weighted democracy index of pre-war Ukrainian territory be in 2028?
-
What will Russia's democracy index be in 2026, as per the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy report?
2.1
If Ukraine holds an election in 2025, who will win?
If Vladimir Putin is not in power in Russia, what will Russia's democracy index be in 2026, as per the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy report?
3.5

Related questions

Will Ukraine be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?
53% chance
Will Ukraine become more authoritarian in 2025?
84% chance
If no ceasefire in 2025, what will the pop-weighted democracy index of pre-war Ukrainian territory be in 2028?
-
If ceasefire in 2025, what will the pop-weighted democracy index of pre-war Ukrainian territory be in 2028?
-
Ukraine Presidential election
What will Russia's democracy index be in 2026, as per the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy report?
2.1
Will Ukraine hold a presidential election in 2025?
20% chance
If Ukraine holds an election in 2025, who will win?
Will trust in Zelensky fall below 50% in 2025?
30% chance
If Vladimir Putin is not in power in Russia, what will Russia's democracy index be in 2026, as per the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy report?
3.5
BrowseElectionNewsAbout