
Will @MarcusAbramovitch make a single Manifold trade or market in 2026?
Mini
1
Ṁ20Jul 1
47%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is essentially one about retention.
Resolves YES if @MarcusAbramovitch still active on the platform this market is on in 2026, Resolves NO if there is no activity from @MarcusAbramovitch in calendar year 2026 on said platform.
Market Closes July 1, 2025. Bet minimally, this market is a moderately long forecast and not going to make you any profit once you discount time.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a Manifold Markets competitor before 2025?
92% chance
Will Manifold have a numerical market type by June 1, 2025?
81% chance
Will Marcus buy Manifold by EOY 2026?
9% chance
Will Manifold implement another way to handle conditional markets before 2026?
64% chance
Will Manifold hire a professional market creator by the end of 2025?
13% chance
Will Nick Bostrom create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
14% chance
Will Marques Brownlee create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
12% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by PolyMarket by end of 2030?
11% chance
Will Sam Altman create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
8% chance
Will Bryan Caplan create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
39% chance