MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will Austin LessWrong have a presence on meetup.com by 2026?
Mini
1
Ṁ100
2026
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Whether Austin LessWrong has a meetup group with at least one event by Jan 1, 2026.

#Austin LessWrong 2025 Predictions
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Comments

Related questions

Will Austin LessWrong have a near-gender-balanced meetup in 2025?
15% chance
Will the Austin LessWrong's 2025 Winter Solstice be held at Silas's place?
60% chance
Will LessWrong still be meaningfully active in 2030? *
86% chance
What will be Austin's next major endeavor?
University of Austin renames itself before 2030?
27% chance
Will LessWrong still be meaningfully active in 2026? *
92% chance
Will LessWrong the website have shutdown by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will "LessOnline (May 31—June 2, Berkeley, CA)" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
5% chance
Will Lesswrong get fewer visits in March 2026 than in March 2023?
32% chance
Will "LessWrong has been acquired by EA" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance

Related questions

Will Austin LessWrong have a near-gender-balanced meetup in 2025?
15% chance
Will LessWrong still be meaningfully active in 2026? *
92% chance
Will the Austin LessWrong's 2025 Winter Solstice be held at Silas's place?
60% chance
Will LessWrong the website have shutdown by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will LessWrong still be meaningfully active in 2030? *
86% chance
Will "LessOnline (May 31—June 2, Berkeley, CA)" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
5% chance
What will be Austin's next major endeavor?
Will Lesswrong get fewer visits in March 2026 than in March 2023?
32% chance
University of Austin renames itself before 2030?
27% chance
Will "LessWrong has been acquired by EA" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout