If Trump wins, will the U.S. have a civil war by end 2030?
Mini
10
Ṁ9542031
17%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Are we accelerating? Does the status quo change anything?
Must meet the formal criteria for civil war.
Resolves N/A if Trump does not win the 2024 presidential election.
Compare/ contrast
/Stralor/if-biden-wins-will-the-us-have-a-ci
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?
12% chance
Will the US will have a Civil War by the end of 2028?
9% chance
Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
42% chance
If Donald Trump wins in 2024, will a War between China and the USA have occured by the end of his 2025 term?
11% chance
Will the USA have another civil war before the end of the decade?
8% chance
Will Donald Trump be elected President in 2032?
3% chance
Will there be an armed conflict between China and the US before the end of 2030?
24% chance
Will there be a US-China war if Trump gets elected in 2024?
23% chance
Will There be a Civil War or Violent Revolution in USA by 2030?
19% chance
Will any of the following Western countries have a civil war by 2030?
14% chance